Фактор сезонности на рынке недвижимости

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Фактор сезонности на рынке недвижимости

Фактор сезонности 1

Рынок недвижимости является  одним из наиболее увлекательных объектов для проведения экономического анализа, пристально исследуемый специалистами различных  отраслей экономики. Поэтому, невзирая  на наличие целого ряда субъективных моментов, определяющих то или иное  состояние рынка, можно смело выделить относительно постоянные факторы сезонности.

Спрос и предложение на рынке недвижимости наличествуют в каждое время года. При всем при том рынок жилья, как, в прочем, и всякий другой рынок, весьма зависим от  сезонного влияния. Спокойнее всего он проявляет себя сразу после Нового Года и летом, а вот максимальная активность участников рынка отмечается весной и осенью.

Однако в последнее время факторы сезонности просматриваются буквально во всех секторах жилой недвижимости все менее заметно. Мало-помалу они утрачивают свое воздействие на процесс ценообразования, а оживленность покупателей и продавцов может возрасти в буквальном смысле слова в любое время года.

А определяется это повышением влияния на рынок жилой недвижимости иных факторов. Для примера, изменения в курсах валют возможно в любое время года, а, следовательно, и повышенный интерес к рынку недвижимости как к самому стабильному виду вложений многократно возрастет.

Однако, кое-какие общие тенденции сохраняются до сих пор. Например, наиболее интенсивными месяцами для рассматриваемого рынка выступают сентябрь-октябрь. А связано это  с возвращением огромного большинства продавцов и покупателей из летних отпусков, а так же с тем, что изменения в динамике цен в этот период легче всего поддаются прогнозированию.

Что касается покупателей, то этот момент одновременно может быть и удобным, и неудобным при покупке квартиры. Количество предложений резко увеличивается, и выбор становится гораздо разнообразнее, с другой стороны, цены на квартиры также несколько увеличиваются.

Собственно поэтому с точки зрения экономии целесообразнее начинать подыскивать подходящее жилье в конце весны, а саму покупку проводить в середине лета.

Но данный вариант подходит только для тех покупателей, кто хорошо разбирается в ценовой структуре рынка недвижимости. В противном случае, без проведения сравнительного анализа, покупатель может обмануть сам себя, а значит приобрести квартиру по завышенной стоимости в своем стремлении сэкономить.

С точки зрения фактора сезонности не самым удачным временем для покупки квартиры будет и  начало года — количество предложений невелико, а цены, наоборот, слишком большие. Это объясняется  тем, что в первые недели наступившего года рынок стремится определить, что его ждет в ближайшее время, и элементарно подстраховываясь, завышает стоимость жилья.

Самое подходящее время для покупки жилой недвижимости — весна. Предложений, как правило, много, а цена квадратного метра определилась и закрепилась после январской и февральской неопределенности. Сэкономить здесь, наверное, не  получится, однако и риск переплаты минимален.

Фактор сезонности 2

Само собой разумеется, что для продавцов жилья приоритеты располагаются в обратной последовательности. Продать квартиру, откровенно неликвидную на этапах высокого предложения, реально можно в начале января либо летом — практически абсолютное отсутствие конкуренции способствует существенному повышению ее стоимости в глазах покупателей.

И последний момент. Наиболее удобным временем для реализации действительно привлекательного жилья  являются середина весны или начало осени.

В эти периоды покупательская активность на рынке жилой недвижимости проявляется ярче всего, поэтому хорошей квартире найти нового хозяина будет гораздо проще.

При всем при том, руководствоваться только выше приведенными суждениями было бы не правильно, они выступают лишь вспомогательными моментами, а никак не основанием для успешного проведения сделки купли-продажи квартиры.

Кроме того обязательно надо учитывать и тот фактор, что большинство продавцов и покупателей в настоящее время работают на рынке недвижимости при помощи профессиональных  риэлторов, что означает уменьшение вероятности выгодно продать неликвидную квартиру либо существенно сэкономить на приобретении жилья в период спада активности.

С уважением, Андрей Ляпустин

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